Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.553619 4.144089 4.771135 5.483465 6.267075 7.099773 8.048442
2024-10-27 2.622169 3.419595 4.329602 5.431437 6.715909 8.153040 9.869307
2024-11-03 2.079084 3.007469 4.137610 5.582230 7.347381 9.403036 11.946141
2024-11-10 1.661169 2.657452 3.946313 5.675973 7.876781 10.526697 13.899859
2024-11-17 1.274477 2.268571 3.637562 5.564613 8.112289 11.275084 15.405144
2024-11-24 0.971253 1.932290 3.341848 5.419356 8.265410 11.897548 16.748579
2024-12-01 0.765724 1.698310 3.150035 5.380513 8.532733 12.651522 18.257237
2024-12-08 0.597015 1.485519 2.955422 5.307771 8.732123 13.305621 19.638425
2024-12-15 0.523093 1.423018 2.981492 5.550343 9.368893 14.546963 21.801918
2024-12-22 0.426606 1.294522 2.881485 5.587571 9.705718 15.384614 23.444356
2024-12-29 0.384999 1.267906 2.947338 5.880443 10.417088 16.745042 25.804204
2025-01-05 0.341912 1.227708 2.982562 6.121820 11.055651 18.014777 28.061447
2025-01-12 0.284596 1.142524 2.930855 6.224663 11.501183 19.042083 30.035804
2025-01-19 0.217640 1.011336 2.775191 6.141078 11.656805 19.661762 31.465254
2025-01-26 0.183278 0.956291 2.759867 6.292293 12.176194 20.809211 33.640768
2025-02-02 0.150180 0.892133 2.716402 6.387870 12.606726 21.832853 35.656589
2025-02-09 0.109257 0.781862 2.558292 6.263878 12.677687 22.328190 36.935076
2025-02-16 0.075867 0.675794 2.390278 6.104607 12.678510 22.712660 38.055840
2025-02-23 0.055012 0.604529 2.289831 6.061707 12.863744 23.370154 39.570504
2025-03-02 0.037854 0.533514 2.176430 5.982300 12.980218 23.921308 40.935751
2025-03-09 0.033232 0.529419 2.234386 6.245749 13.685288 25.379074 43.631551
2025-03-16 0.024289 0.487501 2.184489 6.286103 14.006090 26.251305 45.484713
2025-03-23 0.022161 0.493412 2.267535 6.603905 14.815401 27.888575 48.474842